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While there are still multiple scenarios in play — too many to list all of the particulars of how Merrimack could qualify — there seem to be three results that ALL must play out on Saturday in order for Merrimack to have a chance at the NCAA tournament:
1. Union beats Harvard for the ECAC Championship
2. Colgate beats Cornell in the ECAC Consolation
3. RIT beats Air Force for the Atlantic Hockey Championship
If ALL of those results play out, there are still multiple scenarios. Some sees Merrimack get in, while others don’t. And right now, with so many to flip back and forth, it’s hard to get anything definite than what’s listed above.
I will say there are scenarios where the result of the remaining games can all go one way or the other and there are ways for Merrimack to get in. There are no scenarios that I can find that gets Merrimack a tourney spot without ALL of the above three scenarios playing out.
But, if all three scenarios above play out and Western Michigan wins the CCHA Championship, I’d peg Merrimack at having an 80-85% chance of getting into the tournament (with RIT, Colgate, Union and Western Michigan all winning).
Be sure to check back here throughout the evening and night on Saturday while we update you on other results around the country and provide analysis on how it impacts the Warriors.