The Mack Report

2014 Hockey East Points Lost Analysis

Sam Marotta makes the save on Providence's Mark Jankowski's backhand shot. (Carl Russo/Eagle-Tribune Photo)

Every year, with the help from Mark Bilotta‘s research, we examine how much offense each Hockey East team is returning:

Team 13-14 HE Record (Finish) 13-14 Pts Lost/Total Pts Lost Pts Returning
Maine 9-8-3 (6th) 37/279 13.3% 86.7%
Boston University 5-12-3 (9th) 21/213 14.6% 85.4%
Providence 11-7-2 (3rd) 44/302 14.6% 85.4%
Northeastern 10-8-2 (T-4th) 55/307 17.9% 82.1%
Connecticut AHA 71/244 29.1% 70.9%
Merrimack 3-15-2 (11th) 58/170 34.1% 65.9%
Vermont 10-10-0 (7th) 112/285 39.3% 60.7%
UMass Lowell 11-6-3 (2nd) 122/301 40.5% 59.5%
Notre Dame 9-9-2 (8th) 156/321 48.6% 51.4%
Boston College 16-2-2 (1st) 241/461 52.3% 47.7%
Massachusetts 4-13-3 (10th) 119/212 56.1% 43.9%
New Hampshire 11-9-0 (T-4th) 203/349 58.2% 41.8%

Providence, judging by these numbers, seems to be in the best position. Providence returns the bulk of its scoring on a team that finished in third place last season and advanced to the Hockey East semifinal at TD Garden, finishing 7-2-0 in its last nine games.

It also returns Jon Gillies, one of the top goaltenders in the league, to help matters.

BU returns the second most scoring in the league, and of course brings in one of the top recruiting classes in the country, highlighted by possibly the No. 1 overall draft pick in the 2015 NHL Draft, Jack Eichel. That should help BU’s eighth-place offense (2.15 GPG) improve significantly.

Northeastern also returns a good chunk of its scoring, but it will need to improve its corsi numbers to really start to see some sustained success. Clay Witt is returning in goal, which is good news for the Huskies, but they were playing with fire last season getting outshot as heavily as they were in some games (averaging a -9.4 shot differential in league games last season), and it seemed to catch up with them at the end of the season.

Massachusetts seems as if it will have the toughest hill to climb, losing 56.1 percent of its scoring off a team that finished in 10th place in the league last season. Merrimack, which finished in 11th place and three points behind UMass, returns 65.9% of its scoring, but it’s coming off a team that finished last in league offense last season, by 0.5 goals per game.

We’ll dive into these numbers more once we kickoff our season previews, starting in September.

UMass Lowell (9 + 2G) Joseph Pendenza (30), Derek Arnold (22), Christian Folin(20), Scott Wilson (19), Josh Holmstrom (18), Joe Houk(8), Shayne Thompson (5), Daniel Furlong (0), Doug Carr(0), Connor Hellebuyck (0) =  122 pts
Boston College (6) Johnny Gaudreau (80), Kevin Hayes (65), Bill Arnold (53),Patrick Brown (30), Isaac MacLeod (11), Evan Richardson (2) = 241 pts
Boston University (7 +1G) Garrett Noonan (20), Brendan Collier (4), Patrick MacGregor (4), Matt Ronan (2), Sam Kurker (1), Jake Moscatel (0), J.D. Carrabino (0), Anthony Moccia (0) = 31 pts
Providence (4) Derek Army (18), Steven Shamanski (16), Kevin Hart (9),Mark Adams (1) = 44 pts
New Hampshire (8 +1G) Kevin Goumas (52), Nick Sorkin (41), Eric Knodel (28),Justin Agosta (26), Trevor van Riemsdyk (23), Dalton Speelman (18), Jeff Silengo (15), Jeff Wyer (0)  = 203 pts
Merrimack (8 +1G) Mike Collins (25), Brendan Ellis (10), Jordan Heywood(9), Rhett Bly (6), Josh Myers (4),  Connor Toomey (4),Tom McCarthy (0), Shawn Bates (0) + Sam Marotta (0) = 58 pts
Vermont (9) Chris McCarthy (42),  Nick Bruneteau (16), Connor Brickley (15), H.T. Lenz (13), Pete Massar (9), Matt White(7), Anthony DeCenzo (5), Robert Polesello (4),  Caylen Walls (1) =  112 pts
Maine (3 +2G) Marc Anthoine (20), Brice O’Connor (9), Jon Swavely (6),Martin Ouellette (2), Dan Sullivan (0) = 37 pts
Massachusetts (9) Conor Sheary (28), Michael Pereira (22), Branden Gracel(21), Joel Hanley (16), Colin Shea (16), Adam Phillips(15), Patrick Kiley (1), Anthony Raiola (0), Peter DeAngelo (0) = 119 pts
Northeastern (4 +1G) Braden Pimm (37), Josh Manson (10), Cody Ferriero (8),Zak Stone (0), Bryan Mountain (0) = 55 pts
Notre Dame (9 +2G) T.J. Tynan (38), Bryan Rust (33), Jeff Costello (22),Stephen Johns (20), Shayne Taker (18), Kevin Lind (10),David Gerths (6), Mike Voran (6),  Steven Summerhays(3), Joe Rogers (0), Jared Beers (0) = 156 pts
UCONN (3 +1G) Brant Harris (25), Billy Latta (25), Jordan Sims (21), Matt Grogan (0) = 71 pts